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At The Edge, we cut through the noise to bring you sharp, actionable insights into the fixed income markets. Our expert analysis keeps you informed and one step ahead in an ever-evolving landscape.
Each day, Gilt delivers The Edge—a concise, high-impact market update available exclusively to our subscribers. These daily insights provide a timely pulse on the key developments shaping global and Australian fixed income markets.
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At the end of each week, we bring it all together in The Weekly Edge—a comprehensive review distilling the most critical themes and trends and our fixed income recommendations. Whether you prefer a quick snapshot or a deep dive, our weekly edition delivers both: a concise article for a quick read and a detailed podcast unpacking the forces driving the market.
Stay informed. Stay ahead. The Weekly Edge is your essential guide to navigating the fixed income landscape. Let’s keep moving forward, together.
Read All About It: This week on The Weekly Edge, Rich and Al pull back the curtain on a world being rapidly reshaped—where commodities become weapons, infrastructure hides vulnerabilities, and political drama is market risk.
The U.S.–China trade war just escalated—again. With propane tariffs and ethane bans, critical supply chains are now collateral damage in a full-blown commodities cold war. Meanwhile, suspicions over Chinese-made solar inverters raise alarming questions about energy security and grid control.
And over in China? Deflation is deepening. A brutal EV price war is gutting margins, exposing the limits of industrial policy, and flooding the world with cheap exports. It's not just a domestic slowdown—it’s a global signal.
Back in the U.S., Elon Musk’s public feud with Trump is more than tabloid fodder—it’s a case study in reputational risk bleeding into equity markets. Tesla’s $150B value wipe shows how fragile confidence has become at the intersection of tech, politics, and capital.
Rich and Al aren’t calling this a cycle. They’re calling it what it is: a structural shift toward fragmentation, friction, and volatility without a playbook.
The world isn’t pivoting. It’s splintering. And staying ahead means reading the rewiring in real time.
Read All About It: In this episode of The Weekly Edge, Rich and Al sound the alarm on a global economy shifting beneath our feet—where trade deals are unraveling, oil markets are flashing growth warnings, and central banks are running out of credible moves.
The U.S.–China trade truce? Over. A 54% tariff on Chinese goods is about to inject inflation straight into American wallets—just as delinquencies hit their highest levels since 2011. Meanwhile, OPEC’s surprise production hike signals demand destruction, not strength.
Central banks are split, reactive, and increasingly powerless in the face of politically driven inflation. And Australia, while seemingly stable, sits on $400B in offshore debt—leaving it exposed to any global funding shock.
As Rich and Al break it down, the message is clear: this isn’t just volatility—it’s structural transition. And in a world where the old playbook no longer works, staying nimble isn’t optional—it’s essential.
Because the cracks aren’t coming. They’re already here.
Read All About It: In this episode of The Weekly Edge, Rich and Al unpack the growing fragility behind the world’s financial façade—where gold-standard credit is getting tarnished, and global debt is morphing into a structural time bomb.
Moody’s has finally downgraded the U.S. from AAA to AA1, joining S&P and Fitch—and they didn’t stop there. Big banks like JPMorgan and Wells Fargo also took a hit, amplifying borrowing costs across the board.
Australia still wears its AAA badge, but with $1.5 trillion in public debt and $400 billion owed offshore, the downgrade clock is ticking. Meanwhile, China continues to blur the scoreboard, suppressing economic data and clouding market visibility.
And with global debt exploding by $7.5 trillion in just three months, the real question isn’t if something breaks—it’s who goes first.
As Rich and Al remind us: ratings matter, debt compounds, and process—not prediction—is your only edge in a world getting harder to read.
Read All About It: In this episode of The Weekly Edge, Rich and Al tackle a market that’s wearing a calm mask while the cracks deepen underneath.
China is pulling the blinds on key economic data—hiding everything from youth unemployment to factory output—just as global confidence begins to slip. Meanwhile, the world’s debt pile has surged to $324 trillion, setting the stage for rollover risks and liquidity squeezes in both emerging and developed markets.
Mortgage borrowing is spiking in the UK, U.S. equities are wobbling, and Middle Eastern tensions are flaring. And back home in Australia, things still look steady—but the looming risk of a AAA downgrade and rising offshore debt costs suggest that calm may be fleeting.
As Rich and Al put it: when the data disappears and debt balloons, it’s not the headlines that matter—it’s how you position before the storm.
Read All About It: In this episode of The Weekly Edge, Rich and Al dive into a week where tariffs roared back, the U.S. dollar stumbled, and private credit finally blinked.
Trump’s trade war 2.0 has global markets on edge, with the greenback down 7% YTD and safe havens scrambling to pick up the slack. Meanwhile, over 40% of direct lending borrowers are now cashflow negative—casting serious doubt over the private credit boom.
Consumer confidence just posted its biggest drop since 1990, and Aussie markets—though outwardly steady—are bracing for potential shocks, with APRA flashing quiet warnings and credit rating concerns looming.
When cracks form beneath the calm, Rich and Al remind us: the time to prepare is before the gust hits.
Read All About It: In this Episode of The Weekly Edge, Rich and Al unpack a wild week where gold soared, bonds buckled, and trust took a holiday.
From China’s gray trade workarounds to Trump’s tariff theatrics and a bond market behaving more like Bitcoin, this week delivered geopolitical tension and monetary mayhem in equal measure.
Al breaks down why so-called safe havens are now showing cracks, while Rich explores how global turbulence is seeping into Aussie markets—where yields are steady, but credit spreads and labor data suggest all is not calm.
When gold glows and diversification wobbles, it’s time for strategy—not hope.
Read All About It: In Episode 2 of The Weekly Edge, Rich and Al tackle a turbulent week that saw global markets rattled by tariff threats, bond volatility, and the creeping specter of stagflation. From Trump’s tariff salvos to China’s counterpunches and the safe-haven unraveling of U.S. Treasuries, this week’s macro headlines had teeth.
Al explains why bond yields are rising despite recession fears, and how the “safe assets” of the past may be the risk drivers of tomorrow. Rich draws parallels between the global chessboard and Aussie shores—where job numbers are weakening, credit markets are tightening, and investors are being forced to rethink traditional diversification.
Read All About It: Tariffs are back, markets are jumpy, and global confidence is cracking. This week saw Trump hurl fresh levies at China and Europe, China hint at a currency counterpunch, and investors sprinting to gold like it’s an Olympic event. Back home, Aussie consumer confidence is down, ANZ’s been slapped with a $250M capital hit, and the RBA is stuck between a rock and a stagflation-shaped hard place. When even Jerome Powell sounds unsure, it’s time to get serious. That’s where Gilt Investments steps in—with fixed-income insights that cut through the noise and keep your portfolio grounded.
Read All About It: Tariffs, tantrums, and total market chaos—what a week! From Trump reigniting trade wars to inflation creeping back like a bad sequel, and Warren Buffett hoarding cash like he knows something we don’t, it’s clear that economic stability is just a fairy tale. With central banks crossing their fingers and Europe going on a military spending spree, Aussie investors need a game plan. That’s where Gilt Investments comes in—cutting through the madness with fixed-income strategies that actually make sense.
Read All About It: Warren Buffett is hoarding cash like a man who knows something we don’t, Elon Musk is preaching fiscal responsibility while pocketing billions in government contracts, and the U.S. Mint has finally put the penny out of its misery—only to realize that nickels might be an even bigger money-losing disaster. This week’s market roundup dives into the economic circus, from inflation concerns and oil price spikes to Europe’s newfound love for defense spending (complete with ETFs named WAR and NATO). Whether it’s central banks dragging their feet on rate cuts or Germany bending international law for Netanyahu, it’s clear the financial world never has a dull moment.
Read All About It: The RBA’s surprise rate cut to 4.10% has markets recalibrating expectations, with bond yields shifting as investors weigh the potential for further easing. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks continue to mount—Trump’s tariff maneuvers, Europe’s urgent Ukraine negotiations, and a tightening global commodity market are keeping volatility elevated.
With inflation still a lingering concern and fixed-income opportunities evolving, how should investors position their portfolios? In The Edge, we break down the latest market shifts, key risks, and the smartest fixed-income strategies to navigate this dynamic landscape. Stay informed, stay ahead—don’t miss this week’s edition!
Read All About it: Markets are on edge as Trump’s sweeping 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum shake up global trade dynamics, raising questions about retaliatory measures from key partners like China, Canada, and Mexico. Meanwhile, bond traders are sounding the alarm as short-term inflation expectations surge, widening the gap between 5-year and 30-year breakevens to a two-year high.
What does it all mean for investors? In The Edge, we break down the risks, opportunities, and strategic fixed income plays to navigate the turbulence. Stay informed, stay ahead—don’t miss this week’s edition!
Read All About it: This week in The Edge, we break down the latest market-moving events shaking the global and Australian fixed income landscape. From Trump’s aggressive new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China sparking trade war fears, to the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts, markets are bracing for volatility. Gold hits record highs, the AUD weakens, and the RBA warns super funds to get their liquidity act together. What does it all mean for investors? We dive into the risks, opportunities, and smart fixed income strategies to navigate these uncertain times. Don’t miss out—stay ahead of the curve!